Visit Adam Hobson's column >>

ADAM HOBSONHome Page

Saving the World Since 1984
Add To Watchlist
Articles Posted: 217; Links Seeded: 4232
Member Since: 1/2006

NFL Picks of the Week: Week 2 - Cameragate

Live Poll

Game of the Week, Who Wins?

  • San Diego Chargers
    39%
  • New England Patriots
    61%

Total Votes: 23

advertisement

As a fan of the New York Jets, I cannot be happier at the accusations of cheating surround the New England Patriots. With most of the media fawning all over New England these past few seasons, not to count the numerous Super Bowls and the calls of Dynasty, any little bit of negativity surrounding the Patriots helps.

The league is currently investigating New England for cameragate, but thanks to the power of the Internet, rumors of numerous past infractions are sprouting by the second. Their defensive leader, Rodney Harrison has already been suspended by the league for four games due toHGH use. The Packers have previously reported New England for attempting to steal signals. There are also reports that New England had an irregular radio communication's setup at past Sunday's game as well, and there is speculation that New England may have purposefully blocked the opposing teams radio communication to the quarterback in the past. The laundry list just keeps growing.

Now if we try to look at this a bit objectively, the rumors mean next to nothing. The league can only act on what has been reported and what has been proved. The only instances that have been reported are this Sunday'scameragate incident and a previous one last season against Green Bay. I believe the league is also looking into the irregular radio setup for last week as well.

Punishment-wise, you can immediately disregard changing anything in the past. New England is not getting an asterisk next to their Super Bowl wins and last Sunday's games is not getting overturned. Those games were played and if there was any cheating, it needed to be discovered prior to the games, not afterward.

The likely punishment will be some combination of lost draft picks and a fine. The real question will be which draft picks and how much of a fine.

The Patriot's owner, Robert Kraft, is very close to the commissioner and if the penalty is too light that will send the message that the commissioner plays favorites. This would be especially true after the severity of penalties that was handed out this past season to players for all types of offenses and even to a coach for taking a legal, doctor prescribed drug that was banned by the league.

For the punishment to fit the crime, the Patriot's must lose at least a first day draft pick and a seven figure fine. There is talk of suspending BillBelichick , but that won't happen because this attempt at cheating was not orchestrated by just him alone. Approval must have come from someone in the front office to assign the employee to record the signals. Punishing one coach does not fit the crime.

By the way, you gotta love this non-statement, statement made by Bill Belichick over cameragate:

Earlier this week, I spoke with Commissioner Goodell about a videotaping procedure during last Sunday's game and my interpretation of the rules. At this point, we have not been notified of the league's ruling. Although it remains a league matter, I want to apologize to everyone who has been affected, most of all ownership, staff and players. Following the league's decision, I will have further comment.

Tell us what you really mean...

Cheerleader of the Week

In honor of the Patriots and cameragate, I felt it fitting to throw them a bit of a bone and name Alysha Castonguay cheerleader of the week.

Alysha, age 20, is from Woonsocket, RI and has been a veteran of the Patriot's cheerleaders for two years and cheerleading in general for eleven. She attends the University of Rhode Island and dreams of being a Victoria's Secret Angel. Guys, she's currently single and her favorite food is Lasagna with Strawberry Cheesecake for dessert (hint hint).

Find out more about Alysha at her bio on patriots.com.

Houston (+6½) over CAROLINA

Matt Schaub comes out of his shell. Jake Delhomme goes back in his.

JACKSONVILLE over Atlanta (+10½)

Atlanta is ten point underdog bad. Jacksonville is not ten point favorite good. Was Maurice Jones-Drew a one year flash in the pan?

Indianapolis (-7½) over TENNESSEE

This is exactly the type of game that the loss of Pacman Jones for the season due to suspension will hurt. With him in the secondary there is the chance of picking off Manning once or twice and getting the upset. Without, Tennessee's defense will be picked apart with precision. The only variable will be whether Indianapolis's defensive intensity was a one game affair or can they carry it throughout the season.

ST. LOUIS (-3½) over San Francisco

Frank Gore vs. Steven Jackson.

NEW YORK GIANTS (+3½) over Green Bay

This game will not hinge on how many yards or touchdowns that Manning the lesser will throw, but how many interceptions and incompletions that he doesn't. He can not try to out gun Favre. With all things being equal, he probably could at this point in their careers. But all things are not equal and Eli has to face a pretty damn solid Green Bay defense, while Favre gets to face a Giant's defense that made Tony Romo look like Peyton Manning.

PITTSBURGH (-9½) over Buffalo

Big Ben is back. Santonio Holmes is looking like a stud. Many of the experts consider the AFC elite to be a trinity between San Diego, New England and Indianapolis. I think Pittsburgh will be joining or replacing one of those teams very soon.

CLEVELAND (+6½) over Cincinnati

If Cleveland plans to start Brady Quinn sometime before their bye week, this would be the week to do so. He may not be fully prepared, but Cincinnati is the weakest defense by far that they'll face in the next few weeks. If they want to get him some experience before facing tougher competition, they should give him an abridged version of the offense and see what he can do.

New Orleans (-3½) over TAMPA BAY

Look for New Orleans' offense to strike back after embarrassing themselves last week in front of a national television audience. I almost feel sorry for Tampa Bay, as their once dominant defense will have zero answers to contain Reggie Bush, DrewBrees and company.

Minnesota (+3½) over DETROIT

I still love Minnesota's defense. I still love their running game. I may even slightly like their passing game against Detroit's complete lack of a secondary. But don't expect anything too crazy, BradChildress will still protect Jackson and won't let him get over confident.

Dallas (-3½) over MIAMI

I guess Tony Romo got over that holding snafu from the playoffs. I don't think Miami's aging defense is all that much better than the Giants at this point, but I doubt he'll put up those numbers again.

Seattle (-2½) over ARIZONA

I like the idea of Arizona throwing for a ton of yards against Seattle's depleted secondary. I like the idea of Arizona doing little else of significance.

New York Jets (+7½) over BALTIMORE

Upset of the Week

Let's see how the Jets defense can stack up against an offense not stealing its signals. An offense that fumbled thrice and was intercepted twice last week. I have a feeling the difference will be light and day.

CHICAGO over Kansas City (+12½)

Rex Grossman will be Rex Grossman, but Damon Huard's not all that much better. At least Grossman faces the gift of Kansas City's defense rather than facing the gauntlet of his own.

DENVER (-9½) over Oakland

Lock of the Week

I still worry about Jay Cutler, but he'll always have a solid running game to fall back on. Denver will also enjoy the best home field advantage in the league as they trounce Oakland. I wonder if the calls for recently signedJamarcus Russell will start this week...

San Diego (+3½) over NEW ENGLAND

Game of the Week

San Diego - 20 over New England - 17

Can New England beet a good team without cheating? C'mon, you must have known that was coming... ;-)

PHILADELPHIA (-6½) over Washington

Philadelphia - 24 over Washington - 10

Philadelphia has already cut JR Reed, the lead culprit from last week's punt fumbling jamboree. While it is always important to have strong special teams, the real reason for last week's loss was a complete lack of offense. Look for DonovanMcNabb to put some points on the board this week against a questionable Redskins' defense.

Hi-Lo Picks of the Week

  • HI: New Orleans
  • LO: Baltimore

A Blast from the Past

  • Straight Up: 7-9 last week, 7-9 for the season
  • Vs. Spread: 6-10 last week, 91-79-6 for the season
  • Game of the Week: 0-1
  • Lock of the Week: 0-1
  • Upset of the Week 0-1
  • Hi-Lo: 38 out of 42 possible points last week, 38 out of 42 possible points for the season

NFL Pick'Em Challenge

  1. richardlfarmer - 13
  2. Mydree's NFL Picks - 12
  3. vicaxp - 12
  4. Appsters - 11
  5. Eyes - 10
  6. Black & Blue - 10
  7. Billspicks - 9
  8. Adam - 7

Think you can pick better? Join me and your fellow newsviners in an NFL Pick'Em Challenge and put your money picks where your mouth is.

You can join the group here, and then just enter in the Group ID of "63694" and the password of "sweetfennel".

The Ground Rules

Home team in CAPS, spread in ( paren ). If the spread is listed after the victor, then they will cover. If the spread is listed after the loser, then it will not be covered.

Spreads are taken from ESPN.com. I don't do lines.

  • 16 Votes
  • Enjoy this article? Help vote it up the 'Vine.

Back To Top

Published to:

What's this?
Who's leading the conversation?
This visualization below allows you to see the impact that each user has on the current conversation. The top row contains the group of users who have had the most impact, the 2nd row the group of users who have had the 2nd most impact (et cetera). Users with similar impact are grouped together, and the average score of the group is shown to the left of the group. The author of the article is also shown on the left, in their corresponding group. Each user's score is based on the number of comments the user has made plus the number of votes their comments have received. The scores are calculated relative one another, so while their absolute value is not particularly important, their relative difference does indicate a larger difference in impact on the conversation.
3.4
{"commentId":1019963,"authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}

Yea, so I'm losing the NFL Picks contest after week one... but I'll distract you all with pictures of cheerleaders!

{"commentId":1019963,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}
  • 1 vote
Reply#1 - Thu Sep 13, 2007 1:35 AM EDT
{"commentId":1019988,"authorDomain":"kyleb"}

Those pictures are... very impressive. Yes, that's all I will say. ;)

I'm terrible at trying to pick winners of games by how much points. My hat is off to you for even trying. I am not bad at simply picking games, but then again at a minimum it is a 50-50 chance I'm right.

{"commentId":1019988,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"kyleb"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#2 - Thu Sep 13, 2007 2:01 AM EDT
{"commentId":1020467,"authorDomain":"ramonlo"}

Jets over Ravens not so much of an upset in my mind unless it's because NY is on the road. It might be a Back up QB game with Kellen Clemens supposedly starting and Kyle Boller possibly starting. I'll take an inexperienced Clemens over a horrible Boller.

{"commentId":1020467,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"ramonlo"}
  • 1 vote
Reply#3 - Thu Sep 13, 2007 9:40 AM EDT
{"commentId":1020484,"authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}

When the spread is over a touchdown, that's an upset. But what you are saying is exactly why I am confident in this pick. Ray Lewis is injured and even if he plays, how effective will he be? Their offense looked horrible last week, wasn't really all that good last year and may have to start Kyle Boller.

{"commentId":1020484,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}
  • 1 vote
#3.1 - Thu Sep 13, 2007 9:47 AM EDT
{"commentId":1024149,"authorDomain":"brandonmay"}

I support a Ravens offensive explosion with Kyle Boller at QB only because I have Willis McGahee on my fantasy team. With the uncertainty that is Boller's arm, McGahee should get a lot of carries and/or screen passes out of the backfield. Whether they win or not depends on who's working their video cameras.

{"commentId":1024149,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"brandonmay"}
  • 1 vote
#3.2 - Fri Sep 14, 2007 1:40 PM EDT
{"commentId":1024164,"authorDomain":"ramonlo"}

I think the uncertainty goes beyond his arm...

{"commentId":1024164,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"ramonlo"}
  • 1 vote
#3.3 - Fri Sep 14, 2007 1:44 PM EDT
{"commentId":1024231,"authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}

Brandon, don't worry. A Kyle Boller start is a good thing for McGahee and your fantasy team. It means they won't even try to pass. McGahee is a historical Jet killer, not to mention the Jets defense is just piss-poor at stopping the run.

{"commentId":1024231,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}
  • 1 vote
#3.4 - Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:03 PM EDT
Reply
{"commentId":1022785,"authorDomain":"billiejo"}
Billie-JoDeleted
{"commentId":1023707,"authorDomain":"tcervo"}

Normally I would agree with the San Diego pick. Before this past week, they had the embarrassment of the playoff choke and would be fired up for revenge. Now, though, the Patriots are going to be playing downright *pissed off*. Everyone in the league is calling them cheaters. They're going to be out to prove something in a big way. While this will be game 2 for the Chargers, it'll be more like a playoff game for the Patriots. That probably gives them the edge.

Last week I was 13-3 straight up (although I didn't win my confidence pool...my misses were 10, 11, and 12 points...) (I didn't notice you had a Pick'em pool here...I just joined for this week.) I was 4-1 against the spread (in a pick 5 game.) In other words, I got lucky.

This week I like Chicago to cover the spread. KC is just horrible, and probably won't score. The KC defense will give up at least 14 points. I also think Cincy is a lock, and so is Denver. The Saints will bounce back from a horrible week 1, taking out their frustrations on the poor Bucs.

{"commentId":1023707,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"tcervo"}
  • 1 vote
Reply#5 - Fri Sep 14, 2007 11:22 AM EDT
{"commentId":1023911,"authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}

That's a good point about the Patriots. But you also have to wonder just how much the cheating did help. I mean they cheated for a reason. How much will it hurt to not be able to cheat. Especially against a pass rush like the Chargers have. They won't know when to max protect and when not to.

KC really is bad, but still I think something weird will happen and they won't get shut out. They do still have LJ and his legs haven't fallen off yet. Their defense may be terrible, but so is Chicago's offense. There are already rumors of Benson being losing the starting job soon. Not to say that Chicago won't win, I just don't like that spread.

I definitely agree that the Saints will bounce back big. I think 40 points is possible.

If I had to pick one pick to change now it would be taking Green Bay over the Giants. Green Bay's defense really is good and they have just enough offense to matter. The Giants on the other hand are decimated by injuries. This could be a blow out.

{"commentId":1023911,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"thevineofhob"}
  • 1 vote
#5.1 - Fri Sep 14, 2007 12:26 PM EDT
{"commentId":1024172,"authorDomain":"brandonmay"}

I would go with the Chargers. I think the Pats are good enough on the field to not be distracted by how naughty they are on the sidelines, but let's not forget how the Chargers went out last year. Sure they lost to the Pats, but remember the little "Pats mock 'lights out' dance on midfield Chargers logo" fiasco where LT (the most humble, quiet player in the league) called out Belichick for being the catalyst for that type of disrespectful behavior. LT had an off week against the Bears last week and still threw for a touchdown and ran for a touchdown. This is a Chargers win. I'm so certain of it, I won't place a single dollar on the game and I will try my damnedest to delete this post by Monday morning.

{"commentId":1024172,"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162","authorDomain":"brandonmay"}
  • 1 vote
#5.2 - Fri Sep 14, 2007 1:47 PM EDT
Reply
{"canLink":false,"threadId":"149815","isPrivate":false}
Leave a Comment:
You're in Easy Mode. If you prefer, you can use XHTML Mode instead.
As a new user, you may notice a few temporary content restrictions. Click here for more info.
{"threadId":"149815","contentId":"959162"}
Start TrackingStart Tracking
Stop TrackingStop Tracking